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Automobile demand forecasting: Spatiotemporal and hierarchical modeling, life cycle dynamics, and user-generated online information

Nahrendorf, Tom, Minner, Stefan, Binder, Helfried, Zinck, Richard

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Premium automotive manufacturers face increasingly complex forecasting challenges due to high product variety, sparse variant-level data, and volatile market dynamics. This study addresses monthly automobile demand forecasting across a multi-product, multi-market, and multi-level hierarchy using data from a German premium manufacturer. The methodology combines point and probabilistic forecasts across strategic and operational planning levels, leveraging ensembles of LightGBM models with pooled training sets, quantile regression, and a mixed-integer linear programming reconciliation approach. Results highlight that spatiotemporal dependencies, as well as rounding bias, significantly affect forecast accuracy, underscoring the importance of integer forecasts for operational feasibility. Shapley analysis shows that short-term demand is reactive, shaped by life cycle maturity, autoregressive momentum, and operational signals, whereas medium-term demand reflects anticipatory drivers such as online engagement, planning targets, and competitive indicators, with online behavioral data considerably improving accuracy at disaggregated levels.


Spiral Model Technique For Data Science & Machine Learning Lifecycle

Mahadevan, Rohith

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Analytics play an important role in modern business. Companies adapt data science lifecycles to their culture to seek productivity and improve their competitiveness among others. Data science lifecycles are fairly an important contributing factor to start and end a project that are data dependent. Data science and Machine learning life cycles comprises of series of steps that are involved in a project. A typical life cycle states that it is a linear or cyclical model that revolves around. It is mostly depicted that it is possible in a traditional data science life cycle to start the process again after reaching the end of cycle. This paper suggests a new technique to incorporate data science life cycle to business problems that have a clear end goal. A new technique called spiral technique is introduced to emphasize versatility, agility and iterative approach to business processes.


From Agentification to Self-Evolving Agentic AI for Wireless Networks: Concepts, Approaches, and Future Research Directions

Zhao, Changyuan, Zhang, Ruichen, Wang, Jiacheng, Niyato, Dusit, Sun, Geng, Wang, Xianbin, Mao, Shiwen, Jamalipour, Abbas

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Abstract--Self-evolving agentic artificial intelligence (AI) offers a new paradigm for future wireless systems by enabling autonomous agents to continually adapt and improve without human intervention. This paper presents a comprehensive overview of self-evolving agentic AI, highlighting its layered architecture, life cycle, and key techniques, including tool intelligence, workflow optimization, self-reflection, and evolutionary learning. We further propose a multi-agent cooperative self-evolving agentic AI framework, where multiple large language models (LLMs) are assigned role-specialized prompts under the coordination of a supervisor agent. Through structured dialogue, iterative feedback, and systematic validation, the system autonomously executes the entire life cycle without human intervention. A case study on antenna evolution in low-altitude wireless networks (LA WNs) demonstrates how the framework autonomously upgrades fixed antenna optimization into movable antenna optimization. Experimental results show that the proposed self-evolving agentic AI autonomously improves beam gain and restores degraded performance by up to 52.02%, consistently surpassing the fixed baseline with little to no human intervention and validating its adaptability and robustness for next-generation wireless intelligence. The concept of the G odel Machine, proposed by J urgen Schmidhuber, envisions a self-referential artificial intelligence (AI) capable of provably improving itself by rewriting its own code [1].


Addressing Quality Challenges in Deep Learning: The Role of MLOps and Domain Knowledge

del Rey, Santiago, Medina, Adrià, Franch, Xavier, Martínez-Fernández, Silverio

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Deep learning (DL) systems present unique challenges in software engineering, especially concerning quality attributes like correctness and resource efficiency. While DL models achieve exceptional performance in specific tasks, engineering DL-based systems is still essential. The effort, cost, and potential diminishing returns of continual improvements must be carefully evaluated, as software engineers often face the critical decision of when to stop refining a system relative to its quality attributes. This experience paper explores the role of MLOps practices -- such as monitoring and experiment tracking -- in creating transparent and reproducible experimentation environments that enable teams to assess and justify the impact of design decisions on quality attributes. Furthermore, we report on experiences addressing the quality challenges by embedding domain knowledge into the design of a DL model and its integration within a larger system. The findings offer actionable insights into not only the benefits of domain knowledge and MLOps but also the strategic consideration of when to limit further optimizations in DL projects to maximize overall system quality and reliability.


Generative AI Toolkit -- a framework for increasing the quality of LLM-based applications over their whole life cycle

Kohl, Jens, Gloger, Luisa, Costa, Rui, Kruse, Otto, Luitz, Manuel P., Katz, David, Barbeito, Gonzalo, Schweier, Markus, French, Ryan, Schroeder, Jonas, Riedl, Thomas, Perri, Raphael, Mostafa, Youssef

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Since their introduction LLM have gained widespread traction in different domains. They can be used as stand-alone products, but also to augment existing software products such as applications (also called agentic functions) or machine learning agents (also called LLM-based agents) to increase their capabilities. In this section, we show challenges during development and operation of LLM-based applications on three examples. Users interact with LLM-based applications by entering input into the LLM, the so-called prompt. Jang et al. showed in 2023 that the LLM's output is very sensitive to variations of the prompt [1]. Thus, the task of finding the best prompt to generate expected or best output leads to manual, trial-and-error-prompt experimenting - a method well known as prompt-engineering (cf. White et al. in 2023 for ChatGPT [2] or a survey of prompt techniques by Schulhoff et al. in 2024 [3]). Additionally, the outputs of an LLM-based application can not only vary, but also be wrong without telling a user ("hallucination", cf.


Landscape of AI safety concerns -- A methodology to support safety assurance for AI-based autonomous systems

Schnitzer, Ronald, Kilian, Lennart, Roessner, Simon, Theodorou, Konstantinos, Zillner, Sonja

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Artificial Intelligence (AI) has emerged as a key technology, driving advancements across a range of applications. Its integration into modern autonomous systems requires assuring safety. However, the challenge of assuring safety in systems that incorporate AI components is substantial. The lack of concrete specifications, and also the complexity of both the operational environment and the system itself, leads to various aspects of uncertain behavior and complicates the derivation of convincing evidence for system safety. Nonetheless, scholars proposed to thoroughly analyze and mitigate AI-specific insufficiencies, so-called AI safety concerns, which yields essential evidence supporting a convincing assurance case. In this paper, we build upon this idea and propose the so-called Landscape of AI Safety Concerns, a novel methodology designed to support the creation of safety assurance cases for AI-based systems by systematically demonstrating the absence of AI safety concerns. The methodology's application is illustrated through a case study involving a driverless regional train, demonstrating its practicality and effectiveness.


A systematic review of norm emergence in multi-agent systems

Cordova, Carmengelys, Taverner, Joaquin, Del Val, Elena, Argente, Estefania

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Multi-agent systems (MAS) have gained relevance in the field of artificial intelligence by offering tools for modelling complex environments where autonomous agents interact to achieve common or individual goals. In these systems, norms emerge as a fundamental component to regulate the behaviour of agents, promoting cooperation, coordination and conflict resolution. This article presents a systematic review, following the PRISMA method, on the emergence of norms in MAS, exploring the main mechanisms and factors that influence this process. Sociological, structural, emotional and cognitive aspects that facilitate the creation, propagation and reinforcement of norms are addressed. The findings highlight the crucial role of social network topology, as well as the importance of emotions and shared values in the adoption and maintenance of norms. Furthermore, opportunities are identified for future research that more explicitly integrates emotional and ethical dynamics in the design of adaptive normative systems. This work provides a comprehensive overview of the current state of research on norm emergence in MAS, serving as a basis for advancing the development of more efficient and flexible systems in artificial and real-world contexts.


Experimentation, deployment and monitoring Machine Learning models: Approaches for applying MLOps

Nogare, Diego, Silveira, Ismar Frango

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In recent years, especially since 2010, Data Science has proven to be a fundamental discipline and a support tool for the industry to improve its decision-making supported by data. With the increased relevance of this area, the challenges of publishing the developed models into production to deliver the proposed value to end-users have become more prominent To address these challenges, the MLOps discipline has proven to be a promising approach, enabling the automation and governance of the processes of experimenting, publishing and monitoring Machine Learning models. The creation of MLOps pipelines is one of the main strategies to ensure the effectiveness and efficiency of these processes. This work is expected to contribute to the advancement of AI, promoting more efficient and transparent methodologies for end-to-end Machine Learning project development, looking for to answer the investigative question "What are the main challenges faced by companies when publishing Machine Learning models into production, and how can the discipline of MLOps helps overcome them?" and more specific questions like "Why is it necessary to carry out continuous monitoring throughout the entire development lifecycle of machine learning models?" and "What are the essential steps to ensure an automated, efficient, and secure environment for publishing machine learning models?". The remainder of the paper is organised as follow: in section 2 - MLOps pipeline, which explains the concepts and challenges of MLOps pipelines, in section 3 - Application and Case Study, applications and the benefits of implementing a solution with the stages of experimentation, publication and monitoring and three case studies from different fields of the industry that benefited from the implementation of MLOps are presented, and, in section 4 - Conclusion, the views of each of the three major areas explored are exposed.


The Life Cycle of Large Language Models: A Review of Biases in Education

Lee, Jinsook, Hicke, Yann, Yu, Renzhe, Brooks, Christopher, Kizilcec, René F.

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly adopted in educational contexts to provide personalized support to students and teachers. The unprecedented capacity of LLM-based applications to understand and generate natural language can potentially improve instructional effectiveness and learning outcomes, but the integration of LLMs in education technology has renewed concerns over algorithmic bias which may exacerbate educational inequities. In this review, building on prior work on mapping the traditional machine learning life cycle, we provide a holistic map of the LLM life cycle from the initial development of LLMs to customizing pre-trained models for various applications in educational settings. We explain each step in the LLM life cycle and identify potential sources of bias that may arise in the context of education. We discuss why current measures of bias from traditional machine learning fail to transfer to LLM-generated content in education, such as tutoring conversations because the text is high-dimensional, there can be multiple correct responses, and tailoring responses may be pedagogically desirable rather than unfair. This review aims to clarify the complex nature of bias in LLM applications and provide practical guidance for their evaluation to promote educational equity.


Occupation Life Cycle

Chen, Lan, Ji, Yufei, Yao, Xichen, Zhu, Hengshu

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper explores the evolution of occupations within the context of industry and technology life cycles, highlighting the critical yet underexplored intersection between occupational trends and broader economic dynamics. Introducing the Occupation Life Cycle (OLC) model, we delineate five stages (i.e., growth, peak, fluctuation, maturity, and decline) to systematically explore the trajectory of occupations. Utilizing job posting data from one of China's largest recruitment platforms as a novel proxy, our study meticulously tracks the fluctuations and emerging trends in the labor market from 2018 to 2023. Through a detailed examination of representative roles, such as short video operators and data analysts, alongside emerging occupations within the artificial intelligence (AI) sector, our findings allocate occupations to specific life cycle stages, revealing insightful patterns of occupational development and decline. Our findings offer a unique perspective on the interplay between occupational evolution and economic factors, with a particular focus on the rapidly changing Chinese labor market. This study not only contributes to the theoretical understanding of OLC but also provides practical insights for policymakers, educators, and industry leaders facing the challenges of workforce planning and development in the face of technological advancement and market shifts.